Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.174477 0.196793 0.220314 0.246898 0.276053 0.306999 0.342272
2025-05-11 0.146915 0.177377 0.211233 0.251461 0.297756 0.349162 0.410350
2025-05-18 0.128284 0.164278 0.206137 0.258001 0.320094 0.391595 0.479669
2025-05-25 0.109848 0.148627 0.195654 0.256180 0.331247 0.420488 0.533727
2025-06-01 0.095783 0.136367 0.187509 0.255625 0.342791 0.449351 0.588078
2025-06-08 0.084169 0.125732 0.180022 0.254647 0.352896 0.476051 0.640071
2025-06-15 0.076906 0.119964 0.178036 0.260109 0.370868 0.512725 0.705349
2025-06-22 0.068916 0.112241 0.172553 0.260133 0.381177 0.539428 0.758292
2025-06-29 0.061980 0.105246 0.167333 0.259835 0.390570 0.564786 0.809835
2025-07-06 0.055949 0.098935 0.162451 0.259425 0.399396 0.589277 0.860577
2025-07-13 0.051593 0.094734 0.160222 0.262463 0.412869 0.620191 0.920569
2025-07-20 0.048682 0.092522 0.160717 0.269339 0.431862 0.659073 0.992323
2025-07-27 0.044555 0.088034 0.157549 0.270761 0.443338 0.688357 1.052540
2025-08-03 0.041717 0.085440 0.157125 0.276251 0.460913 0.726729 1.126518
2025-08-10 0.039519 0.083733 0.157956 0.283633 0.481489 0.769922 1.208426
2025-08-17 0.035803 0.078904 0.153244 0.281840 0.487861 0.792485 1.261209
2025-08-24 0.032698 0.074867 0.149527 0.281336 0.496025 0.817727 1.318329
2025-08-31 0.029823 0.070953 0.145696 0.280330 0.503198 0.841512 1.373719
2025-09-07 0.028271 0.069485 0.146039 0.286268 0.521529 0.882487 1.455400
2025-09-14 0.026007 0.066321 0.143070 0.286310 0.530218 0.908866 1.515759
2025-09-21 0.023903 0.063253 0.140031 0.285996 0.538188 0.934208 1.574995
2025-09-28 0.021973 0.060340 0.137048 0.285557 0.545820 0.959090 1.633955
2025-10-05 0.020642 0.058610 0.136196 0.288846 0.559741 0.994115 1.709153